4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,740 sqft ·
Built 1893
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,489/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$797
Tax + insurance
−$292
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$313
Net cashflow
$87/mo
Annual
$1,045/yr
Cap rate
6.98%
Cash-on-cash
2.46%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$42,560
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $152k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (2.0% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $149k (2.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#950 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Blue Ridge CUSD 18 (rural): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #370 of 620 in IL (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1893 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in De Witt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
De Witt County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $88k; list at $152k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1893 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YQM6RZBD3BMEK1
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29