4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,673 sqft ·
Built 1922
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 253 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,326/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$281
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$278
Net cashflow
$-15/mo
Annual
$-185/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.44%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $149k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-185/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (1.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (11.0% below list).
It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $131k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $565 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Nauvoo-Colusa CUSD 325 (rural): math 15% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #713 of 919 in IL (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.
Hancock County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YR6EQBEW9WRG3D
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29