4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,631 sqft ·
Built 1959
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$376
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,008
Net cashflow
$2,525/mo
Annual
$30,300/yr
Cap rate
24.13%
Cash-on-cash
63.69%
DSCR
3.83
1% rule
2.83%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($30k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $170k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $167k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#268 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, commute F.
Borger ISD (town): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #348 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gateway El (372 students, 64% FRL); Borger Middle (math 50% / reading 45%, grade C-, #408 of 1,662 statewide, top 25%, 381 students, 59% FRL); Borger H S (math 27% / reading 49%, grade F, #880 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 761 students, 50% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2 units permitted in Hutchinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YRA6XMATK1S872
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29