3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,500 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Townhouse
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,971/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$376
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$414
Net cashflow
$-51/mo
Annual
$-613/yr
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.93%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$65,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-51 ($-613/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (3.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (16.1% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($231k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $197k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#56 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hammond Hill Elementary (math 51% / reading 48%, grade D, #168 of 597 statewide, top 31%, 677 students, 26% FRL); Paul Knox Middle (math 32% / reading 43%, grade F, #90 of 229 statewide, top 42%, 683 students, 48% FRL); North Augusta High (math 51% / reading 86%, grade B, #68 of 196 statewide, top 35%, 1,719 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 54% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 52% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Aiken 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).
Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $122k; list at $235k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.9% in North Augusta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YS8D0B7TS72SZH
· Data 22 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29