2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,070 sqft ·
Built 1993
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 487 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,798/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$195
HOA
−$460
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$378
Net cashflow
$-20/mo
Annual
$-246/yr
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.31%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-246/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (2.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 487 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#655 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Peace River Elementary School (math 56% / reading 54%, grade C, #872 of 2,144 statewide, top 42%, 581 students, 64% FRL); Port Charlotte Middle School (math 59% / reading 50%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 877 students, 55% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 26% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.0%/yr); 603 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $150k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.2% in Port Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 487 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-YSN9419F3S2GWB
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29