3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,194/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$224
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$251
Net cashflow
$90/mo
Annual
$1,080/yr
Cap rate
7.19%
Cash-on-cash
3.22%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $90 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (0.4% below list).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#745 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Dalton-Nunda Central School District (Keshequa) (rural): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #515 of 590 in NY (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 86 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Livingston County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $46k; list at $120k implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YSV69S151SKT58
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29