4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,210 sqft ·
Built 2022
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,464/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,782
Tax + insurance
−$269
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$517
Net cashflow
$-105/mo
Annual
$-1,256/yr
Cap rate
5.92%
Cash-on-cash
-1.32%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$95,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $340k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-105 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $321k (5.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (27.5% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (27.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#137 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Fayette County Public Schools (rural): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #134 of 139 in TN (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Oakland Elementary (math 14% / reading 21%, grade F, #704 of 952 statewide, top 74%, 701 students, 0% FRL); West Junior High School (math 5% / reading 12%, grade F, #270 of 333 statewide, top 82%, 378 students, 0% FRL); Fayette Ware Comprehensive High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #279 of 332 statewide, top 86%, 833 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 222 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.6% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YSZDVN5SN0F87X
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29