4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built —
· Land
· Active
· 262 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,507/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$358
HOA
−$259
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$317
Net cashflow
$-553/mo
Annual
$-6,641/yr
Cap rate
3.20%
Cash-on-cash
-11.04%
DSCR
0.51
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$60,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-553 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (37.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (29.9% below list).
It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (37.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#86 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Lincoln Parish (town): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #24 of 98 in LA (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 277 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 171 units permitted in Lincoln Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At $1,507/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 2476% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-YTZ4T5BYM39TSM
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29