3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,588 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Land
· Active
· 301 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,459/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,678
Tax + insurance
−$600
HOA
−$7
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$516
Net cashflow
$-342/mo
Annual
$-4,109/yr
Cap rate
5.26%
Cash-on-cash
-3.70%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$89,597
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $320k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-342 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (15.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (23.2% below list).
It's been on market 301 days — a 12% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#548 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Vineland Elementary School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade A-, #333 of 2,144 statewide, top 16%, 579 students, 45% FRL); L. A. Ainger Middle School (math 65% / reading 53%, grade B, #144 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 720 students, 40% FRL); Lemon Bay High School (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #148 of 667 statewide, top 23%, 1,360 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 38% FRL vs 54% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 863 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $21k; list at $320k implies a 1424% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.1% in Rotonda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 301 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29