2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
3,163 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Manufactured
· Active
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,495/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$61
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$524
Net cashflow
$1,518/mo
Annual
$18,211/yr
Cap rate
30.61%
Cash-on-cash
86.84%
DSCR
4.86
1% rule
3.33%
Cash to close
$20,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#313 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, amenities D-, commute F.
Amador County Unified (town): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #330 of 517 in CA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jackson Elementary (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #671 of 1,571 statewide, top 44%, 500 students, 53% FRL); Jackson Junior High (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #260 of 498 statewide, top 54%, 346 students, 47% FRL); Argonaut High (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #578 of 1,170 statewide, top 51%, 536 students, 42% FRL).
Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 66 units permitted in Amador County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Amador County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 30.6% vs local median 2.8% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YWEJRC26EWZ4NG
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29