10 bd · 5.0 ba ·
3,200 sqft ·
Built 1955
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,557/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,933
Tax + insurance
−$856
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,587
Net cashflow
$1,181/mo
Annual
$14,173/yr
Cap rate
8.18%
Cash-on-cash
6.75%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$210,000
Investor read
This is a 5 × 2-bed/2-bath units multifamily listed at $750k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $236/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $750k).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($728k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $728k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#685 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Central Dauphin SD (suburban): math 30% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #305 of 539 in PA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Central Dauphin Shs (math 71% / reading 24%, grade D, #164 of 437 statewide, top 38%, 1,975 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $275k; list at $750k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.8% in Lawnton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,557/mo this rent would consume 105% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 756% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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