128 Greens Valley Rd

Spring, PA 16828

$229,900D-

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · Built 2013 · Other · Active · 30 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,842/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,206
• Tax + insurance: −$249
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$387
• Net cashflow: $1/mo
• Annual: $8/yr
• Cap rate: 6.30%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.01%
• DSCR: 1.00
• 1% rule: 0.80%
• Cash to close: $64,372

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $230k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($8/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (19.9% below list).
• It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $184k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Bellefonte Area SD (town): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #140 of 539 in PA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Pleasant Gap El Sch (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #313 of 1,518 statewide, top 24%, 193 students, 25% FRL); Bellefonte Area Ms (math 31% / reading 52%, grade F, #234 of 512 statewide, top 47%, 576 students, 28% FRL); Bellefonte Area Hs (math 72%, 847 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools at 23% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 399 units permitted in Centre County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Centre County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $199k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.