3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,104 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 315 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,343/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$535
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$282
Net cashflow
$-158/mo
Annual
$-1,898/yr
Cap rate
4.38%
Cash-on-cash
-6.85%
DSCR
0.70
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-158 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $76k (23.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 315 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $76k (23.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#372 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Harris County (rural): math 41% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #27 of 174 in GA (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Park Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #485 of 1,228 statewide, top 41%, 560 students, 56% FRL); Creekside School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #135 of 470 statewide, top 29%, 858 students, 30% FRL); Harris County High School (math 30% / reading 39%, grade F, #88 of 424 statewide, top 22%, 1,703 students, 25% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 40% of rent.
Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 189 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 1.6% in Pine Mountain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 315 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: kitchen appliances
— outdated and in need of replacement
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— dated and in need of replacement
Minor: landscaping
— overgrown vegetation
CashFlowRE · CFR-YWG5NTEMTNED86
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29