4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,764 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,583/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,568
Tax + insurance
−$498
HOA
−$80
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$542
Net cashflow
$-106/mo
Annual
$-1,268/yr
Cap rate
5.87%
Cash-on-cash
-1.51%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$83,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-106 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $284k (5.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $258k (13.6% below list).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $258k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#68 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
Davie County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #57 of 178 in NC (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Cornatzer Elementary (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #302 of 1,410 statewide, top 23%, 350 students, 58% FRL); William Ellis Middle (math 48% / reading 59%, grade C+, #87 of 475 statewide, top 19%, 452 students, 31% FRL); Davie County High (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B-, #184 of 535 statewide, top 37%, 1,770 students, 42% FRL).
Market conditions: 219 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 250 units permitted in Davie County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davie County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.0% in Mocksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YX2JP2FM0Z8RB2
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29