3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,312 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,657/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,358
Tax + insurance
−$432
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$348
Net cashflow
$-481/mo
Annual
$-5,772/yr
Cap rate
4.06%
Cash-on-cash
-7.96%
DSCR
0.65
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$72,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $259k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-481 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (26.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (36.0% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $166k (36.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#78 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
RSU 16 (rural): math 79% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #73 of 112 in ME (top 65%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 358 units permitted in Androscoggin County in 2024 (57 in 5+ unit buildings).
Androscoggin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $259k implies a 702% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 2.4% in Mechanic Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YX5D6GBAS9MSX2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29