2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
824 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$862/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$223
Tax + insurance
−$88
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$181
Net cashflow
$371/mo
Annual
$4,447/yr
Cap rate
16.76%
Cash-on-cash
37.37%
DSCR
2.66
1% rule
2.03%
Cash to close
$11,900
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($862 rent vs $42k).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $376 of equity ($294 loan paydown + $82 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#170 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
Herington (rural): math 28% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #100 of 169 in KS (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dickinson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $18k; list at $42k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YXEPTPAR1GZFXW
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29