3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,159 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,062/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$490
Tax + insurance
−$84
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$223
Net cashflow
$264/mo
Annual
$3,174/yr
Cap rate
9.69%
Cash-on-cash
12.12%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$26,180
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $94k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $646 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#239 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
Irwin County (rural): math 37% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #57 of 174 in GA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Irwin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Irwin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
10 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $16k; list at $94k implies a 467% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YYAJMHE6H015R5
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29