4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,507 sqft ·
Built 2002
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 130 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,370/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,678
Tax + insurance
−$581
HOA
−$38
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$498
Net cashflow
$-426/mo
Annual
$-5,106/yr
Cap rate
4.70%
Cash-on-cash
-5.70%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$89,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-426 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (23.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (25.9% below list).
It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $237k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#86 in TX, #3,043 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Rockwall ISD (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #83 of 826 in TX (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 966 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,810 units permitted in Rockwall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rockwall County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.9% in Rockwall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YYFPXAAFQ4SR7S
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29