2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
930 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Condo
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,472/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$250
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$309
Net cashflow
$-20/mo
Annual
$-240/yr
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.64%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-240/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (2.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#498 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Blue Lake Elementary School (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,882 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 520 students, 75% FRL); Deland Middle School (math 38% / reading 43%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,074 students, 61% FRL); Deland High School (math 26% / reading 45%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 2,926 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 669 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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