3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,324 sqft ·
Built 1982
· Townhouse
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,457/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$960
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$306
Net cashflow
$41/mo
Annual
$492/yr
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.96%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$51,268
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $183k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $41 ($492/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (20.4% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($178k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $146k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#1 in WY, #820 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
Campbell County School District #1 (town): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #30 of 41 in WY (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Prairie Wind Elementary (math 57% / reading 51%, grade C, #75 of 151 statewide, top 50%, 367 students, 34% FRL); Sage Valley Junior High School (math 51% / reading 57%, grade B-, #29 of 55 statewide, top 54%, 666 students, 30% FRL); Campbell County High School (math 36% / reading 41%, grade F, #55 of 75 statewide, top 73%, 1,187 students, 39% FRL).
Market conditions: 157 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 32 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Campbell County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YZ22SJ746H8H9Z
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29