3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 849 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,919/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$211
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$403
Net cashflow
$1,237/mo
Annual
$14,849/yr
Cap rate
43.14%
Cash-on-cash
131.59%
DSCR
6.86
1% rule
4.76%
Cash to close
$11,284
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 849 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $279 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Cobb County (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #25 of 174 in GA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: City View Elementary School (math 10% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,069 of 1,228 statewide, top 87%, 883 students, 91% FRL); Lindley Middle School (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #372 of 470 statewide, top 80%, 1,096 students, 82% FRL); Pebblebrook High School (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #171 of 424 statewide, top 41%, 2,511 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 39% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 19% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-23 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cobb County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 131 active listings in the ZIP; 1,625 units permitted in Cobb County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cobb County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 43.1% vs local median 4.6% in South Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 849 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior paint
— Peeling paint on the exterior suggests significant wear and tear.
Major: interior paint
— The exterior suggests a need for significant interior updates as well.
Major: roof
— No specific roof condition is visible, but the exterior suggests a need for a thorough inspection.
Major: HVAC/mechanical systems
— No specific HVAC/mechanical condition is visible, but the exterior suggests a need for a thorough inspection.
Major: landscaping
— The listing photo shows a lack of landscaping and curb appeal, with overgrown grass and a general unkempt appearance.
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· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29