2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,554 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 130 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,681/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$500
HOA
−$1,168
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$563
Net cashflow
$-1,123/mo
Annual
$-13,476/yr
Cap rate
1.80%
Cash-on-cash
-16.04%
DSCR
0.29
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$83,999
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (54.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $268k (10.6% below list).
It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $137k (54.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Faubion Elementary School (610 students, 73% FRL); Da Vinci Middle School (434 students, 34% FRL); Benson Polytechnic High School (824 students, 65% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 463 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 40d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 1.8% vs local median 2.3% in Portland — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 54% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-YZJ64P4SX0XAVC
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29