4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
3,075 sqft ·
Built 1927
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 213 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,233/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$265
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$259
Net cashflow
$32/mo
Annual
$384/yr
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.06%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($384/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (4.4% below list).
It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#381 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Hamilton County CUSD 10 (town): math 23% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #285 of 620 in IL (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Hamilton County Jr/Sr High School (math 17% / reading 30%, grade F, #309 of 693 statewide, top 45%, 512 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP.
Hamilton County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $129k implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z13XJGEP0NP6H4
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29