3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,660 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,891/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$387
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$397
Net cashflow
$-125/mo
Annual
$-1,505/yr
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.29%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$65,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-125 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $213k (9.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (19.5% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $189k (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#19 in IA, #633 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
Linn-Mar Community School District (suburban): math 75% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #44 of 289 in IA (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Wilkins Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #273 of 616 statewide, top 51%, 388 students, 42% FRL); Excelsior Middle School (math 71% / reading 72%, grade A, #106 of 246 statewide, top 44%, 617 students, 28% FRL); Linn-Mar High School (math 73% / reading 78%, grade A-, #79 of 336 statewide, top 25%, 2,271 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 16% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 455 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,023 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (456 in 5+ unit buildings).
Linn County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $203k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.7% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z22FQ69NFAX5CH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29