2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,077 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$989/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$548
Tax + insurance
−$174
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$208
Net cashflow
$59/mo
Annual
$705/yr
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.41%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$29,260
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $104k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($705/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (5.4% below list).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $99k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $722 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#122 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
Tuscumbia City (suburban): math 18% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #72 of 129 in AL (top 56%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 220 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 91 units permitted in Colbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Colbert County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.4% in Tuscumbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen counters
— Countertops are cluttered and need cleaning.
Minor: Living room furniture
— Furniture appears to be in good condition but could be updated for a more modern look.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z2GJM4EHJGXYFM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29