8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,328 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,867/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,599
Tax + insurance
−$1,335
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,072
Net cashflow
$-1,139/mo
Annual
$-13,665/yr
Cap rate
5.40%
Cash-on-cash
-3.17%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$405,720
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.45M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-285/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.25M (13.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $987k (31.9% below list).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.32M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $987k (31.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $72k of equity ($10k loan paydown + $62k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $740k; list at $1.45M implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$116k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $9,867/mo this rent would consume 277% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 8573% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z2H16E39STWX16
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29