3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,436 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Land
· Active
· 157 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,168/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,322
Tax + insurance
−$420
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$455
Net cashflow
$-29/mo
Annual
$-342/yr
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.48%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$70,560
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath land listed at $252k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-29 ($-342/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $248k (1.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (14.0% below list).
It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $217k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#93 in TX, #3,241 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, schools D, crime D.
Pleasant Grove ISD (urban): math 63% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #30 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.3% in Texarkana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z33BDDFRDPWEYS
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29