3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1997
· Manufactured
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,134/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$561
Tax + insurance
−$178
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$448
Net cashflow
$946/mo
Annual
$11,357/yr
Cap rate
16.91%
Cash-on-cash
37.93%
DSCR
2.69
1% rule
1.99%
Cash to close
$29,946
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $107k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $946 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $107k).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $101k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $740 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#106 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A-, schools B+, employment B+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
Durango School District No. 9-R (town): math 27% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #30 of 86 in CO (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 101 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 306 units permitted in La Plata County in 2024 (93 in 5+ unit buildings).
La Plata County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $56k; list at $107k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 1.1% in Durango — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z33RWG12M3K3HC
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29