3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1916
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,585/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$464
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$333
Net cashflow
$54/mo
Annual
$644/yr
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.64%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($644/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $598 of equity ($968 loan paydown + $-370 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#344 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Medina Central School District (town): math 37% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #548 of 590 in NY (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Clifford Wise Intermediate School (math 17% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,821 of 2,108 statewide, top 86%, 395 students, 55% FRL); Medina Junior-Senior High School (math 67% / reading 52%, grade C+, #851 of 1,100 statewide, top 80%, 614 students, 46% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Orleans County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orleans County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $82k; list at $140k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.9% in Medina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z3GH0TB037YSTN
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29