3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,577 sqft ·
Built 1893
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,136/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$87
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$239
Net cashflow
$286/mo
Annual
$3,432/yr
Cap rate
9.73%
Cash-on-cash
12.26%
DSCR
1.55
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#128 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Oxford (rural): math 30% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #102 of 169 in KS (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Oxford Elem (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #388 of 684 statewide, top 61%, 207 students, 44% FRL); Oxford Jr/Sr High (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #165 of 327 statewide, top 55%, 212 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1893 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Sumner County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sumner County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $14k; list at $100k implies a 590% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1893 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z3JGK2CWN8TCJF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29