3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,650 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 181 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,202/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$590
Tax + insurance
−$104
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$252
Net cashflow
$255/mo
Annual
$3,062/yr
Cap rate
9.02%
Cash-on-cash
9.72%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$31,500
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $112k).
It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $99k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($778 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (7.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#123 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
Concordia Parish (town): math 19% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #65 of 98 in LA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Concordia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Concordia County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $112k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (7.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 95% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z3RVRK6S8TEJJR
· Data 4 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29