4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,053 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 112 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,901/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,711
Tax + insurance
−$544
HOA
−$33
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$399
Net cashflow
$-785/mo
Annual
$-9,425/yr
Cap rate
3.40%
Cash-on-cash
-10.32%
DSCR
0.54
1% rule
0.58%
Cash to close
$91,347
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $295k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-785 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $213k (27.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (35.5% below list).
It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $190k (35.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#149 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Morningside Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #582 of 1,228 statewide, top 50%, 503 students, 84% FRL); Perry Middle School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C+, #60 of 470 statewide, top 13%, 1,070 students, 51% FRL); Perry High School (math 31% / reading 39%, grade F, #84 of 424 statewide, top 20%, 1,478 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 46% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 692 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 117d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 3.4% vs local median 4.8% in Perry — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z3V0BW9G9H02VS
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29