3021 State Highway 8

Gilbertsville, NY 13843

$49,995B+

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,878 sqft · Built 1889 · MultiFamily · Pending · 212 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,409/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax + insurance: −$191
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$296
• Net cashflow: $660/mo
• Annual: $7,917/yr
• Cap rate: 22.13%
• Cash-on-cash: 56.56%
• DSCR: 3.52
• 1% rule: 2.82%
• Cash to close: $13,999

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $50k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $660 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
• It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#892 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime D-.
• Unadilla Valley Central School District (rural): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #571 of 590 in NY (top 97%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1889 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 151 units permitted in Chenango County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Chenango County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $40k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
• At projected returns (9.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1889 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.