3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,582 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Townhouse
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,779/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$216
HOA
−$39
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$374
Net cashflow
$-292/mo
Annual
$-3,504/yr
Cap rate
5.02%
Cash-on-cash
-4.55%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-292 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (18.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (35.3% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $178k (35.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#29 in WV, #4,057 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
Berkeley County Schools (other): math 21% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #24 of 55 in WV (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Opequon Elementary School (459 students, 0% FRL); Martinsburg North Middle School (math 10% / reading 34%, grade F, #95 of 109 statewide, top 88%, 666 students, 0% FRL); Spring Mills High School (math 28% / reading 62%, grade D-, #10 of 110 statewide, top 8%, 1,480 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,460 units permitted in Berkeley County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berkeley County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask is 83% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $146k; list at $275k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 4.0% in Martinsburg — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z49PYC69JRT805
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29