3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,015 sqft ·
Built 1994
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,049/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$81
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$220
Net cashflow
$71/mo
Annual
$855/yr
Cap rate
6.96%
Cash-on-cash
2.37%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($855/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (18.7% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $105k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#237 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Zoned schools: Chickasaw City Elementary School (math 7% / reading 30%, grade F, #480 of 627 statewide, top 77%, 550 students, 80% FRL); Chickasaw City High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #248 of 305 statewide, top 82%, 224 students, 91% FRL).
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z4TTCX86HGWA53
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29