3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,628 sqft ·
Built 1981
· Condo
· Active
· 605 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,686/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,246
Tax + insurance
−$1,171
HOA
−$775
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,194
Net cashflow
$-700/mo
Annual
$-8,394/yr
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.89%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$173,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $619k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-700 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $495k (20.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $569k (8.1% below list).
It's been on market 605 days — a 12% lower offer ($545k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $495k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#20 in FL, #434 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $206k; list at $619k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 0.8% in Sunny Isles Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,686/mo this rent would consume 102% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 605 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z5S8359NP1HMJ3
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29