2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
786 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 208 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,249/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$307
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$582/mo
Annual
$6,989/yr
Cap rate
18.24%
Cash-on-cash
42.67%
DSCR
2.90
1% rule
2.13%
Cash to close
$16,380
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $582 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $404 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pittsgrove Township School District (rural): math 18% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #295 of 472 in NJ (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z64QJS0Q0ZF409
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29