4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,484 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,398/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,360
Tax + insurance
−$597
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$714
Net cashflow
$-273/mo
Annual
$-3,273/yr
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.60%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$126,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $450k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-273 ($-3k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-136/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $402k (10.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $340k (24.5% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($443k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $340k (24.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#24 in RI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, schools D-, amenities F.
Woonsocket (suburban): math 5% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #37 of 39 in RI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $116k; list at $450k implies a 288% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.3% in Woonsocket — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,398/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 2658% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z69J674T5DJ6RW
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29