2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,650 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Condo
· Under Contract
· 114 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,700/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$451
HOA
−$653
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$567
Net cashflow
$-387/mo
Annual
$-4,649/yr
Cap rate
4.57%
Cash-on-cash
-6.15%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-387 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (25.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $270k (0.0% below list).
It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#27 in CT, #1,989 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Farmington School District (suburban): math 65% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #18 of 153 in CT (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: East Farms School (math 77% / reading 77%, grade A, #28 of 553 statewide, top 7%, 468 students, 11% FRL); West Woods Upper Elementary School (math 64% / reading 77%, grade A, #13 of 175 statewide, top 8%, 641 students, 17% FRL); Farmington High School (math 55% / reading 78%, grade B, #32 of 194 statewide, top 16%, 1,263 students, 16% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 67 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $150k; list at $270k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.3% in West Hartford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z7283DCWQX2CPZ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29