3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,313 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,162/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$267
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$454
Net cashflow
$603/mo
Annual
$7,230/yr
Cap rate
10.81%
Cash-on-cash
16.14%
DSCR
1.72
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $603 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#129 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools F.
Questa Independent Schools (rural): math 7% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #79 of 95 in NM (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Taos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Taos County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z7M41M1ZEV1F8Y
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29