3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,404 sqft ·
Built 1905
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 96 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,228/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$180
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$258
Net cashflow
$606/mo
Annual
$7,276/yr
Cap rate
28.98%
Cash-on-cash
81.04%
DSCR
4.61
1% rule
3.51%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $606 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $32k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $640 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#382 in PA, #3,416 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, employment F.
Charleroi SD (rural): math 20% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #421 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 29.0% vs local median 14.8% in Charleroi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29