9 bd · 9.9 ba ·
6,575 sqft ·
Built 1804
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,306/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,360
Tax + insurance
−$1,631
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,114
Net cashflow
$201/mo
Annual
$2,413/yr
Cap rate
6.83%
Cash-on-cash
1.92%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$126,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $450k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $67/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $450k).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($423k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $423k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $48k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $45k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#570 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
East Greenbush Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #132 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1804 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $201k; list at $450k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$77k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1804 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z8WWJC3M2EDZP9
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29