3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
967 sqft ·
Built 1948
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,249/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$195
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$451/mo
Annual
$5,414/yr
Cap rate
14.62%
Cash-on-cash
29.75%
DSCR
2.32
1% rule
1.92%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $451 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 93/100 on livability (#2 in IA, #21 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-.
Ames Community School District (urban): math 70% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #147 of 289 in IA (top 51%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Mitchell Elementary School (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A-, #224 of 616 statewide, top 42%, 290 students, 46% FRL); Ames Middle School (math 71% / reading 70%, grade A, #111 of 246 statewide, top 45%, 1,002 students, 31% FRL); Ames High School (math 69% / reading 77%, grade B+, #114 of 336 statewide, top 34%, 1,403 students, 30% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 92% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 196 units permitted in Story County in 2024 (34 in 5+ unit buildings).
Story County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 2.2% in Ames — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z8XB824MBA6PKF
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29