1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
696 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,544/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,933
Tax + insurance
−$1,404
HOA
−$1,575
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,214
Net cashflow
$1,418/mo
Annual
$17,015/yr
Cap rate
8.56%
Cash-on-cash
8.10%
DSCR
1.36
1% rule
1.41%
Cash to close
$210,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $750k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $750k).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($705k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $705k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 53/100 on livability (#979 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, schools B; Watch: housing C-, crime F, amenities F.
Santa Monica-Malibu Unified (urban): math 61% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #123 of 1,400 in CA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 636 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $195k; list at $750k implies a 285% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $210k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 0.7% in Malibu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,544/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($197k/yr) (locally 420% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29