3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,959 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,475/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$569
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$520
Net cashflow
$-187/mo
Annual
$-2,240/yr
Cap rate
5.55%
Cash-on-cash
-2.67%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-187 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $267k (11.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (17.5% below list).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $248k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#279 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Timber Ridge Elementary School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #327 of 1,228 statewide, top 27%, 761 students, 32% FRL); Union Grove Middle (math 44% / reading 52%, grade C-, #80 of 470 statewide, top 17%, 1,069 students, 32% FRL); Union Grove High (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #140 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 1,648 students, 24% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 41% at this address vs 28% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Henry County average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 581 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
13 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $212k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.9% in McDonough — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z93E3ND0Z52N07
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29