3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,285/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$852
Tax + insurance
−$271
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$480
Net cashflow
$683/mo
Annual
$8,198/yr
Cap rate
11.34%
Cash-on-cash
18.03%
DSCR
1.80
1% rule
1.41%
Cash to close
$45,472
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $162k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $683 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in ID, #1,176 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D+.
Joint School District No. 2 (suburban): math 53% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #11 of 92 in ID (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Meridian Elementary School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #217 of 357 statewide, top 62%, 448 students, 66% FRL); Meridian Academy (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #141 of 169 statewide, top 87%, 171 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 23% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 60% district-wide (-29 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Joint School District No. 2 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 762 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.1% in Meridian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z9N08S73JRVFNJ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29