3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,592 sqft ·
Built 2021
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 206 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,826/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$321
HOA
−$26
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$383
Net cashflow
$-32/mo
Annual
$-387/yr
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.64%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-387/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (2.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (15.1% below list).
It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $183k (15.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#163 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Harrah (town): math 24% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #82 of 270 in OK (top 30%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Virginia Smith Es (395 students, 0% FRL); Harrah Ms (math 18% / reading 27%, grade F, #122 of 345 statewide, top 37%, 528 students, 0% FRL); Harrah Hs (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #125 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 630 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 194 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.3% in Harrah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z9RDKE8RDSQY64
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29