2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Manufactured
· Active
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,471/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$454
Tax + insurance
−$144
HOA
−$400
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$309
Net cashflow
$164/mo
Annual
$1,973/yr
Cap rate
8.57%
Cash-on-cash
8.15%
DSCR
1.36
1% rule
1.70%
Cash to close
$24,220
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $86k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $86k).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $598 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#26 in ID, #3,741 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Mountain Home District (town): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #78 of 92 in ID (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #255 of 357 statewide, top 74%, 520 students, 50% FRL); Hacker Middle School (math 24% / reading 40%, grade F, #90 of 109 statewide, top 84%, 552 students, 45% FRL); Mountain Home Sr High School (math 21% / reading 44%, grade F, #117 of 169 statewide, top 70%, 960 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 355 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Elmore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Elmore County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.0% in Mountain Home — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZAKA6W5KTG05B6
· Data 10 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29