3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,193 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,467/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$475
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$308
Net cashflow
$166/mo
Annual
$1,987/yr
Cap rate
8.94%
Cash-on-cash
9.46%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.96%
Cash to close
$20,999
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Fairlawn Elementary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #790 of 994 statewide, top 81%, 422 students, 76% FRL); Mcgary Middle School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #311 of 330 statewide, top 94%, 351 students, 81% FRL); William Henry Harrison High School (math 29% / reading 54%, grade F, #211 of 369 statewide, top 58%, 1,158 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 50% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Market conditions: 181 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZAW0JTB8E5WJRR
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29