3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,063/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$36
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$223
Net cashflow
$489/mo
Annual
$5,874/yr
Cap rate
16.08%
Cash-on-cash
34.96%
DSCR
2.56
1% rule
1.77%
Cash to close
$16,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $489 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#124 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Lewis County (town): math 33% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #50 of 139 in TN (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lewis County Elementary (521 students, 0% FRL); Lewis Co High School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #41 of 332 statewide, top 15%, 446 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Lewis County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lewis County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $19k; list at $60k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 2.2% in Hohenwald — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZB39G183YHQEN2
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29